Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000186 0.000206 0.000228 0.000253 0.000281 0.000312 0.000349
2025-05-25 0.000148 0.000177 0.000211 0.000253 0.000306 0.000369 0.000451
2025-06-01 0.000124 0.000156 0.000196 0.000250 0.000321 0.000414 0.000543
2025-06-08 0.000105 0.000138 0.000181 0.000241 0.000326 0.000442 0.000616
2025-06-15 0.000095 0.000129 0.000175 0.000244 0.000346 0.000491 0.000721
2025-06-22 0.000087 0.000123 0.000173 0.000249 0.000367 0.000545 0.000841
2025-06-29 0.000078 0.000113 0.000164 0.000244 0.000372 0.000573 0.000925
2025-07-06 0.000069 0.000103 0.000152 0.000233 0.000367 0.000584 0.000980
2025-07-13 0.000065 0.000098 0.000148 0.000234 0.000380 0.000626 0.001095
2025-07-20 0.000061 0.000094 0.000147 0.000237 0.000397 0.000677 0.001233
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000089 0.000142 0.000236 0.000405 0.000712 0.001346
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000087 0.000141 0.000240 0.000424 0.000771 0.001514
2025-08-10 0.000051 0.000083 0.000137 0.000239 0.000436 0.000817 0.001669
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000079 0.000133 0.000238 0.000445 0.000861 0.001833
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000074 0.000128 0.000234 0.000451 0.000900 0.001990
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000069 0.000121 0.000226 0.000445 0.000914 0.002094
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000067 0.000120 0.000229 0.000463 0.000982 0.002341
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000234 0.000486 0.001062 0.002640
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000229 0.000486 0.001091 0.002807
2025-09-28 0.000032 0.000058 0.000108 0.000219 0.000474 0.001088 0.002883
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000056 0.000107 0.000219 0.000487 0.001150 0.003161
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000055 0.000106 0.000223 0.000506 0.001230 0.003515
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000053 0.000103 0.000221 0.000513 0.001279 0.003784